Big Data and Analysis on China Stone Import-Export in 2018

2018年中国石材进出口大数据发布及解析

侯建华 Hou Jianhua


讲稿摘要 /Abstract of Speech:

12018年中国石材进出口合计大数据公布;

12018年中国石材出口数据公布;

22018年中国石材进口数据公布;

2.分析2018年中国石材出口数据及结构;

1)分析2018年中国出口数据及重点国别;

2)对该数据的未来趋势进行预测;

3.分析2018年中国石材进口数据及结构;

1)分析2018年中国进口数据及重点国别;

2)对该数据的未来趋势进行预测;

4中国石材进出口的未来发展趋势分析;

1 在石材品种上的趋势;

2 在国别上的趋势;

5根据中国石材进出口数据解析的思考及主要建议:

1 目前中国每年大约需要多少天然石材,折合成板材(m2),大数据;

2 中国石材基地的集中效应更为明显;

3 中国新一轮环保风暴将持续影响中国企业生产与布局;

4 以加工进口石材为主的企业转型迫在眉睫;

5 以出口石材为主的企业转型将是重新定位;

6 作好"一路一带"对石材需求的准备;

7 中国石材企业海外投资分析;

8 中国石材大数据将有利于石材企业贸易的研判、预判;

9 环境压力迫使中国石材生产成本、出口成本大幅提高,荒料、成品涨价突显;

10)中国大陆现有进口大理石、花岗石荒料存量将大幅度涨价;

11)未来几年中国石材进口石材继续呈下降趋势的必然;

12)用发展中国国内家装用石材,来拉动中国石材业兴旺是一场"痴人说梦"

13)中国人造合成石产业快速发展,一定程度上将影响部分石材品种的进口;矿山、工厂内天然石材碎料必然涨价;

14)中国进出口石材的变化将严重影响世界石材市场的格局与价格;

15)中国内地以石材为主要产品的展贸、经贸活动数量、规模将大幅度缩水;

16)中国新近将要发布的《国家生态红线》将严重左右中国石材产业布局;

17)中国《石材行业"十三五"规划》中对石材贸易的数据预计数值严重偏离市场实际;

18)中共"十九大"精神将在很深程度上、很长时间上影响石材产业发展。


1. Release of aggregate big data of Chinese Stone import and export in 2018;

(1) Release of Chinese stone export data in 2018;

(2 )Release of Chinese stone import data in 2018;

2. Analysis of Chinese stone export data and structure in 2018;

(1) Analysis of Chinese stone export data and primary target countries in 2018;

(2) Data prediction;

3. Analysis of Chinese stone import data and structure in 2018;

(1) Analysis of Chinese stone import data and primary target countries in 2018;

(2) Data prediction;

4. Prediction of the development trend of Chinese stone import and export;

(1) Trend in the stone varieties;

(2) Trend in relation to different countries;

5. Reflection and opinion derived from the analysis of Chinese stone import and export data

(1) The amount of natural stones that China needs per year and that in the big data of slab materials (m2);

(2) The stone production bases become more evidently centralized;

(3) The new round of environmental protection campaign in China will continue to affect the production and layout of Chinese companies;

(4) The transition of companies that rely on processing imported stones is in urgently needed;

(5) The transition of export-oriented companies is to reposition themselves;

(6) Prepare for the stone material demand brought kicked off the “Belt and Road Initiative”;

(7) Analysis of overseas investment by Chinese stone companies;

(8) The Chinese stone big data will be conducive for the research and prediction of the stone company businesses;

(9) The environmental pressure drastically drives up the production and export costs of Chinese stones along with a remarkable price increase of raw stones and finished products;

(10) The imported granite and raw granite in stock in mainland China will witness a sharp price increase;

(11) The downward trend of Chinese stone import in the next few years is inevitable;

(12) To propel the prosperity of the Chinese stone industry with the demand for home-use stones in the developing countries is a “ludicrous dream”;

(13) The rapid development of Chinese synthetic stone will affect the import of a portion of varieties of stones; with an inevitable rise in the scrap price from mines and factories;

(14) The change in the imported and exported stones of China will largely affect the pattern and prices of the world stone market;

(15) The trade and exhibition events featured by stone products will see a substantial shrinkage in terms of number and scale in mainland China;

(16) The State Ecological Red line that is to be released in the near future in China will significantly influence the layout of China’s stone industry;

(17) The predicted data released by the “13th Five-Year” Plan of the Stone Industry is a drastic deviation from that of the actual market;

(18) The guiding policy of the “19th CPC National Congress” will exert a great influence to the stone industry development in a profound and lasting manner;